Saturday, June 23, 2012

How much air is left in the rally

Let me introduce our OptionsFlowExtreme Gage, which we have been experiementing with for some time.
It measures the amount of extreme Money Flow events withing our Institutional Portfolio from a pure Options perspective. You  add some filtering and adjustments and ..voila ...this is the result!

Observations:
  • 11 out 11 spikes led to a bullish outcome over a period of 1-2 m (months)
  • only 2 rally were shortlived or died too early
  • 2 out 9 saw a deeper low before seeing the rally to gain strength



  • the last spike was in mid May which projects out to mid June to mid July or even August
  • the last spike was not a big one, indicating that this trading low in May was probably not the medium term cycle LOW

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